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Hurricane Moke category?: Will Moke become a Category 4 hurricane? Category 4 or above

No95%
Category 4 or above6%

Price checked at

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread9%
ResolvesDec 1, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 24Sep 25Sep 27Sep 28Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Moke reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 130 mph, then the market resolves to Yes. Should the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of the event.

Other legs of this event

Venue activity

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Trades (24h)—
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Open interest—
Comments0

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As of Sep 29, 09:06 PM UTC