KalshiOpen
Hurricane Moke category?: Will Moke become a Category 5 hurricane? Category 5 or above
No95%
Category 5 or above6%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread9%
ResolvesDec 1, 2026in 2 months
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If Moke reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 157 mph, then the market resolves to Yes. Should the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of the event.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hurricane Moke category?: Will Moke become a Category 1 hurricane? Category 1 or above | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Hurricane Moke category?: Will Moke become a Category 4 hurricane? Category 4 or above | Kalshi | 95% No | Open |
| Hurricane Moke category?: Will Moke become a Category 2 hurricane? Category 2 or above | Kalshi | 94% No | Open |
| Hurricane Moke category?: Will Moke become a Category 3 hurricane? Category 3 or above | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 29, 09:06 PM UTC