PolymarketResolved

Set 1 Winner: Marvin Moeller vs Federico Arnaboldi

Marvin Moeller100%
Federico Arnaboldi0%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread1%
ResolvesSep 30, 20262 days ago

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 22, 05:03 PMSep 23, 01:36 PMSep 24, 10:10 AMSep 25, 06:43 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Marvin Moeller and Federico Arnaboldi in the Genoa 2, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Marvin Moeller” if Marvin Moeller wins the first set. It will resolve to “Federico Arnaboldi” if Federico Arnaboldi wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Genoa 2: Marvin Moeller vs Federico ArnaboldiPolymarket100% Marvin MoellerOpen
Genoa 2: Completed Match: Marvin Moeller vs Federico ArnaboldiPolymarket100% YesOpen
Moeller vs. Arnaboldi: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Moeller vs. Arnaboldi: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Marvin Moeller vs Federico ArnaboldiPolymarket100% Marvin MoellerOpen
Moeller vs. Arnaboldi: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Marvin Moeller (-1.5) vs Federico Arnaboldi (+1.5)Polymarket100% Marvin MoellerOpen
Moeller vs. Arnaboldi: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Marvin Moeller vs. Federico Arnaboldi: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket100% Under 2.5Open
Moeller vs. Arnaboldi: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Moeller vs. Arnaboldi: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Moeller vs. Arnaboldi: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Moeller vs. Arnaboldi: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Marvin Moeller (-2.5) vs Federico Arnaboldi (+2.5)Polymarket100% Marvin MoellerOpen
Moeller vs. Arnaboldi: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 2, 10:24 AM UTC