PolymarketResolved

Set Handicap: Marvin Moeller (-1.5) vs Federico Arnaboldi (+1.5)

Marvin Moeller100%
Federico Arnaboldi0%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread1%
ResolvesSep 30, 20262 days ago

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 22, 05:03 PMSep 23, 01:36 PMSep 24, 10:10 AMSep 25, 06:43 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Marvin Moeller and Federico Arnaboldi in the Genoa 2, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Marvin Moeller" if Marvin Moeller wins by 2 or more sets than Federico Arnaboldi, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Federico Arnaboldi." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Marvin Moeller can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Federico Arnaboldi." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Genoa 2: Marvin Moeller vs Federico ArnaboldiPolymarket100% Marvin MoellerOpen
Genoa 2: Completed Match: Marvin Moeller vs Federico ArnaboldiPolymarket100% YesOpen
Moeller vs. Arnaboldi: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Moeller vs. Arnaboldi: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Marvin Moeller vs Federico ArnaboldiPolymarket100% Marvin MoellerOpen
Moeller vs. Arnaboldi: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Moeller vs. Arnaboldi: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Marvin Moeller vs. Federico Arnaboldi: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket100% Under 2.5Open
Moeller vs. Arnaboldi: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Moeller vs. Arnaboldi: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Moeller vs. Arnaboldi: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Moeller vs. Arnaboldi: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Marvin Moeller (-2.5) vs Federico Arnaboldi (+2.5)Polymarket100% Marvin MoellerOpen
Moeller vs. Arnaboldi: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Marvin Moeller vs Federico ArnaboldiPolymarket100% Marvin MoellerOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 2, 07:50 AM UTC