trade.xyzOpen

Will the Federal Reserve leave unchanged the upper bound of the federal funds rate target range at its October 2026 FOMC decision?

No62%

Yes39%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:06 PM UTC

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24h volume$10

7d volume—

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ResolvesNov 4, 2026next month

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Settles Yes if the Federal Reserve leave unchangeds the upper bound of the federal funds rate target range at its October 2026 FOMC decision, as published by federalreserve.gov, scheduled for 28 October 2026 18:00 UTC. Deployed and settled on Hyperliquid by trade.xyz.

Sourcefederalreserve.gov

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will the Federal Reserve lower the upper bound of the federal funds rate target range at its October 2026 FOMC decision?	TradeXyz	95% No	$5	—	—	Open
Will the Federal Reserve do something other than raise, lower or hold the upper bound of the federal funds rate target range at its October 2026 FOMC decision?	TradeXyz	50% Yes	$0	—	—	Open
Will the Federal Reserve raise the upper bound of the federal funds rate target range at its October 2026 FOMC decision?	TradeXyz	64% Yes	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 39 minutes ago

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As of Sep 29, 09:06 PM UTC