trade.xyzOpen

Will the Federal Reserve do something other than raise, lower or hold the upper bound of the federal funds rate target range at its October 2026 FOMC decision?

Yes50%

No50%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:34 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

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ResolvesNov 4, 2026next month

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Settles Yes if the Federal Reserve's decision on the upper bound of the federal funds rate target range at its October 2026 FOMC decision is none of the listed outcomes, as published by federalreserve.gov, scheduled for 28 October 2026 18:00 UTC. Deployed and settled on Hyperliquid by trade.xyz.

Sourcefederalreserve.gov

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will the Federal Reserve leave unchanged the upper bound of the federal funds rate target range at its October 2026 FOMC decision?	TradeXyz	62% Yes	$15	—	—	Open
Will the Federal Reserve raise the upper bound of the federal funds rate target range at its October 2026 FOMC decision?	TradeXyz	64% Yes	$10	—	—	Open
Will the Federal Reserve lower the upper bound of the federal funds rate target range at its October 2026 FOMC decision?	TradeXyz	95% No	$5	—	—	Open

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 10:35 PM UTC