PolymarketResolved

Game Spread: Shintaro Mochizuki (-0.5) vs Pavel Kotov (+0.5)

Shintaro Mochizuki100%
Pavel Kotov0%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume—
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Spread1%
ResolvesSep 30, 20262 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 22, 11:58 AMSep 23, 09:13 AMSep 24, 06:28 AMSep 25, 03:42 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Shintaro Mochizuki" if Shintaro Mochizuki wins 0.5 or more total games than Pavel Kotov in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pavel Kotov". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Shintaro Mochizuki could no longer have finished 0.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Pavel Kotov". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Chengdu Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel KotovPolymarket100% YesOpen
Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel KotovPolymarket100% Shintaro MochizukiOpen
Mochizuki vs. Kotov: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Mochizuki vs. Kotov: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Mochizuki vs. Kotov: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Mochizuki vs. Kotov: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel KotovPolymarket100% Shintaro MochizukiOpen
Mochizuki vs. Kotov: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Mochizuki vs. Kotov: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Shintaro Mochizuki (-1.5) vs Pavel Kotov (+1.5)Polymarket100% Shintaro MochizukiOpen
Mochizuki vs. Kotov: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel KotovPolymarket100% Shintaro MochizukiOpen
Set Handicap: Pavel Kotov (-1.5) vs Shintaro Mochizuki (+1.5)Polymarket100% Shintaro MochizukiOpen
Shintaro Mochizuki vs. Pavel Kotov: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket100% Under 2.5Open
Mochizuki vs. Kotov: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Mochizuki vs. Kotov: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% OverOpen

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As of Oct 2, 06:36 AM UTC