PolymarketResolved

Mochizuki vs. Kotov: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5

Over100%
Under0%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume—
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Liquidity$0
Spread1%
ResolvesSep 30, 20262 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 22, 11:04 AMSep 23, 08:29 AMSep 24, 05:55 AMSep 25, 03:20 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Shintaro Mochizuki and Pavel Kotov in the Chengdu Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak or played as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with set 2 at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. If the match ends before set 2 is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Chengdu Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel KotovPolymarket100% YesOpen
Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel KotovPolymarket100% Shintaro MochizukiOpen
Mochizuki vs. Kotov: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Mochizuki vs. Kotov: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Mochizuki vs. Kotov: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel KotovPolymarket100% Shintaro MochizukiOpen
Mochizuki vs. Kotov: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Mochizuki vs. Kotov: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Shintaro Mochizuki (-1.5) vs Pavel Kotov (+1.5)Polymarket100% Shintaro MochizukiOpen
Mochizuki vs. Kotov: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel KotovPolymarket100% Shintaro MochizukiOpen
Set Handicap: Pavel Kotov (-1.5) vs Shintaro Mochizuki (+1.5)Polymarket100% Shintaro MochizukiOpen
Shintaro Mochizuki vs. Pavel Kotov: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket100% Under 2.5Open
Mochizuki vs. Kotov: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Mochizuki vs. Kotov: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Game Spread: Shintaro Mochizuki (-0.5) vs Pavel Kotov (+0.5)Polymarket100% Shintaro MochizukiOpen

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As of Oct 2, 10:54 AM UTC