Predict.funOpenvenue data is stalePart of a cross-venue question →

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

No96%
Yes4%

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Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 21Sep 23Sep 25Sep 27Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Limitless and Polymarket publish a resolution time of January 1, 2027 at 04:59 UTC; PredictFun publishes no settlement time, but its criteria specify the same December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET deadline. The published resolution source and cancellation criteria are otherwise materially the same.
  • LimitlessOpen →

    US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

    32 holders · read Sep 29, 11:11 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

    222 holders · 1 comments · read Sep 21, 05:58 PM UTC

  • PredictFunthis market

    US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

    read Sep 29, 07:30 PM UTC

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As of Sep 30, 12:12 AM UTC