LimitlessOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Yes52%

No48%

Price checked at Sep 30, 03:30 AM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread—

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The same question elsewhere

3 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. Limitless and Polymarket publish a resolution time of January 1, 2027 at 04:59 UTC; PredictFun publishes no settlement time, but its criteria specify the same December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET deadline. The published resolution source and cancellation criteria are otherwise materially the same.

Limitlessthis market
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
32 holders · read Sep 29, 11:11 PM UTC
PolymarketOpen →
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
219 holders · 1 comments · read Sep 30, 02:34 AM UTC
PredictFunOpen →
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
read Sep 30, 01:06 AM UTC

Venue activity

Read from the venue 4 hours ago

Holders32

Held value$3.6K

Trades (24h)—

Trades92

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 5% · best ask 100%

Top holders

BillytheIdiotNo$1.3K
0xc41BD9111D0089F554E10ffEEAa0441716e5D4DBNo$1.1K
0x4008D7018ce7536E7252E3bc21dbe065C0853A21No$266.8
0x516485632154ab752ff6d851d8e941199a15B507No$219.7
0xdb00A05F10591356ad872CCC5Cfd553199c2b258Yes$200.1

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Recent trades

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—89%$88.712 days ago
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—90%$713 days ago

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As of Sep 30, 03:32 AM UTC