Predict.funResolvedPart of a cross-venue question →

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31?

Yes100%

No0%

Price checked at Sep 28, 12:56 PM UTC

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Resolution rules

If the 14th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are materially identical, including the corroborating sources and treatment of post-launch anomalies and vehicle name changes. Polymarket lists a resolution time; PredictFun does not publish one, which does not change the underlying question.

PolymarketOpen →
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31?
If the 14th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
47 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 24, 03:40 AM UTC
PredictFunthis market
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31?
If the 14th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
read Sep 28, 09:01 AM UTC

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As of Sep 30, 10:44 AM UTC