Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

No97%
Yes3%

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Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Created At: 2026-03-02T13:41:12.07553595Z

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket specifies a settlement time of January 1, 2027 at 04:59 UTC; PredictFun does not publish a separate settlement timestamp. Both cite consensus of credible reporting as the primary source, with no material criteria difference.
  • PredictFunthis market

    Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

    If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Created At: 2026-03-02T13:41:12.07553595Z

    read Sep 29, 10:38 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

    If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

    933 holders · 430 comments · read Sep 22, 09:47 AM UTC

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As of Sep 29, 11:26 PM UTC