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PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

No96%
Yes4%

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24h volume$1.1K
7d volume$26K
30d volume$302.1K
Liquidity$90.2K
Spread0%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 22Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket specifies a settlement time of January 1, 2027 at 04:59 UTC; PredictFun does not publish a separate settlement timestamp. Both cite consensus of credible reporting as the primary source, with no material criteria difference.
  • PredictFunOpen →

    Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

    If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Created At: 2026-03-02T13:41:12.07553595Z

    read Sep 29, 05:07 PM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

    If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

    933 holders · 430 comments · read Sep 22, 09:47 AM UTC

Venue activity

Holders933
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments405

Best bid 3% · best ask 4%

Top holders

  • denizz97107770187587683506815626974888163324622836988014033022064807674186740440043
  • Striped-Pressroom42920366254635522231062953285326731613318286540727986277660335157561634812014
  • Better-Ford42920366254635522231062953285326731613318286540727986277660335157561634812014
  • keribit97107770187587683506815626974888163324622836988014033022064807674186740440043
  • 0xf724e04d47697c4bea883804106daf5a6da285cc42920366254635522231062953285326731613318286540727986277660335157561634812014

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

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  • SELL3%$0.88 days ago
  • SELL96%$48.18 days ago
  • BUY4%$15.88 days ago
  • SELL96%$48.18 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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405 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • JuicyPusy · 8 days ago

    Trump invited President Pezeshkian and FM Araghchi to the US tomorrow but still not Pahlavi 🤣🤣🤣🥱🥱🥱

  • Prince-of-Persia · 14 days ago

  • richsob · 16 days ago

  • JuicyPusy · 16 days ago

    Lol so funny im dying 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣😂😂😂

  • Prince-of-Persia · 16 days ago

    Why none of these abduls and muhammads here buy some No to fill my orders instead of crying?

  • RealRonnieTyler · 17 days ago

    Every emoji is one less cheez ball for dinner, y'know ☝️😁

  • RealRonnieTyler · 17 days ago

    Don't go spend her whole data plan on third rate trolling and Tucker Carlson again 😆

  • RealRonnieTyler · 17 days ago

    Oh no, @JuicyPusy found his mom's prepaid phone again 🙄

  • JuicyPusy · 18 days ago

    Imagine they even invited Senator Fetterman, A LITERAL DEMOCRAT, to speak at relublican convention, but they still didn't let this guy speak 🤣🤣🤣🤣 they even invited him and asked him to prepare and they canceled it right before the event 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

  • JuicyPusy · 18 days ago

    🚨🚨🚨 BREAKING: Reza Pahlavi's communication team revealed that he was scheduled to give a speech as a guest speaker at Republican Party’s midterm convention, September 9-10 in Dallas, but his invitation was canceled last minute by the event organizers with no further explanation.

  • RealRonnieTyler · 30 days ago

    Old: Leftists, IRGC and armchair Islamists are so relaxed and amused by how "insignificant" and "ridiculous" Pahlavi is. Still they keep tabs on him more meticulously than his biggest fans. To the extent that they now keep track of his followers on Instagram. They know the archives will open and all informants, spies and other ashghal will be exposed, like they were after communist countries in Europe collapsed in late 80's and early 90's. And that, I will enjoy 🍿

  • Prince-of-Persia · last month

    Love to see the 🐪💦 drinkers shi**ing their pants as we get closer and closer

  • abdoohl · last month

    the iranian diaspora supporting clown prince just the lowest scum its worse than ukros 🤡 🤡 🤡

  • abdoohl · last month

    NEW: Clown Prince Reza Pahlavi has lost almost a million followers on Instagram since the war

  • richsob · last month

    Pahlavi called for another round of protests among the diaspora scheduled for September 19th in Toronto, but this time he said people have to buy tickets to attend 🥶🥶🥶

  • pary · 2 months ago

    Siktir baba

  • proseandcons · 2 months ago

    Pahlavi not the same man after getting hit with spaghetti Os

  • Milin-dc · 4 months ago

    That makes YES more likely

  • JuicyPusy · 4 months ago

    Trump just posted on Truth Social.

  • JuicyPusy · 4 months ago

    🕊🎉🕊🎉🕊 CONFIRMED: PEACE DEAL SIGNED BY BOTH PARTIES. 🕊🎉🕊🎉🕊

As of Sep 29, 09:19 PM UTC