Predict.funOpenvenue data is stalePart of a cross-venue question →

Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No93%
Yes8%

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Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 21Sep 23Sep 25Sep 27Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nansen (https://www.nansen.ai/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Nansen, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Created At: 2026-03-02T13:30:57.858325581Z

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The venues list different settlement timestamps or none, but the substantive deadline and resolution criteria are the same; no material criteria differences are published.
  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nansen (https://www.nansen.ai/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Nansen, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

    300 holders · 2 comments · read Sep 29, 09:50 PM UTC

  • PredictFunthis market

    Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nansen (https://www.nansen.ai/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Nansen, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Created At: 2026-03-02T13:30:57.858325581Z

    read Sep 29, 09:15 PM UTC

  • OpinionOpen →

    Will Nansen launch a token by ... — December 31, 2026

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nansen (https://www.nansen.ai/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Nansen, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

    read Sep 30, 12:13 AM UTC

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As of Sep 30, 12:17 AM UTC