PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No94%

Yes7%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:58 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$4.9K

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nansen (https://www.nansen.ai/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Nansen, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The same question elsewhere

3 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. The venues list different settlement timestamps or none, but the substantive deadline and resolution criteria are the same; no material criteria differences are published.

Polymarketthis market
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nansen (https://www.nansen.ai/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Nansen, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
300 holders · 2 comments · read Sep 29, 09:50 PM UTC
PredictFunOpen →
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nansen (https://www.nansen.ai/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Nansen, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Created At: 2026-03-02T13:30:57.858325581Z
read Sep 29, 09:15 PM UTC
OpinionOpen →
Will Nansen launch a token by ... — December 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nansen (https://www.nansen.ai/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Nansen, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
read Sep 29, 10:23 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Polymarket	75% No	$0.2	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 40 minutes ago

Holders300

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments2

Best bid 6% · best ask 7%

Top holders

lexaman.eth17258450035761158088686254896147408374208343283006010331518928876556724399478
Alek01111763931456235876228207454692228615096214532972309928175889885732220821291531
Vlad21111763931456235876228207454692228615096214532972309928175889885732220821291531
Ser-Keiser111763931456235876228207454692228615096214532972309928175889885732220821291531
Milky-Tattler17258450035761158088686254896147408374208343283006010331518928876556724399478

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY7%$16 hours ago
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SELL93%$36.510 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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2 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

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brelgin · 9 months ago
A later release in this case will favorably affect the project itself and its real audience (real users). There's no point in rushing.
brelgin · 9 months ago
if you are interested in some details about the project [link removed]

As of Sep 29, 10:30 PM UTC