Set Handicap: Connie Ma (-1.5) vs Merna Refaat (+1.5)
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Connie Ma and Merna Refaat in the W50 Berkeley, CA, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Connie Ma" if Connie Ma wins by 2 or more sets than Merna Refaat, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Merna Refaat." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Connie Ma can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Merna Refaat." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.
Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| W50 Berkeley, CA: Merna Refaat vs Connie Ma | Polymarket | 100% Connie Ma | Open |
| W50 Berkeley, CA, Qualifying: Completed Match: Merna Refaat vs Connie Ma | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
| Set 1 Winner: Merna Refaat vs Connie Ma | Polymarket | 100% Connie Ma | Open |
| Refaat vs. Ma: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 | Polymarket | 100% Under | Open |
| Refaat vs. Ma: Match O/U 23.5 | Polymarket | 100% Over | Open |
| Refaat vs. Ma: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 | Polymarket | 100% Over | Open |
| Refaat vs. Ma: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 | Polymarket | 100% Under | Open |
| Set 2 Winner: Merna Refaat vs Connie Ma | Polymarket | 100% Merna Refaat | Open |
| Refaat vs. Ma: Match O/U 21.5 | Polymarket | 100% Over | Open |
| Set Handicap: Merna Refaat (-1.5) vs Connie Ma (+1.5) | Polymarket | 100% Connie Ma | Open |
| Refaat vs. Ma: Match O/U 22.5 | Polymarket | 100% Over | Open |
| Refaat vs. Ma: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 | Polymarket | 100% Over | Open |
| Refaat vs. Ma: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 | Polymarket | 100% Under | Open |
| Merna Refaat vs. Connie Ma: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Polymarket | 100% Over 2.5 | Open |
| Refaat vs. Ma: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 | Polymarket | 100% Over | Open |
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As of Oct 2, 07:42 AM UTC