Set 2 Winner: Merna Refaat vs Connie Ma
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Merna Refaat and Connie Ma in the W50 Berkeley, CA, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Merna Refaat” if Merna Refaat wins set 2. It will resolve to “Connie Ma” if Connie Ma wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.
Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| W50 Berkeley, CA: Merna Refaat vs Connie Ma | Polymarket | 100% Connie Ma | Open |
| W50 Berkeley, CA, Qualifying: Completed Match: Merna Refaat vs Connie Ma | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
| Set 1 Winner: Merna Refaat vs Connie Ma | Polymarket | 100% Connie Ma | Open |
| Refaat vs. Ma: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 | Polymarket | 100% Under | Open |
| Refaat vs. Ma: Match O/U 23.5 | Polymarket | 100% Over | Open |
| Refaat vs. Ma: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 | Polymarket | 100% Over | Open |
| Refaat vs. Ma: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 | Polymarket | 100% Under | Open |
| Refaat vs. Ma: Match O/U 21.5 | Polymarket | 100% Over | Open |
| Set Handicap: Merna Refaat (-1.5) vs Connie Ma (+1.5) | Polymarket | 100% Connie Ma | Open |
| Refaat vs. Ma: Match O/U 22.5 | Polymarket | 100% Over | Open |
| Refaat vs. Ma: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 | Polymarket | 100% Over | Open |
| Set Handicap: Connie Ma (-1.5) vs Merna Refaat (+1.5) | Polymarket | 100% Merna Refaat | Open |
| Refaat vs. Ma: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 | Polymarket | 100% Under | Open |
| Merna Refaat vs. Connie Ma: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Polymarket | 100% Over 2.5 | Open |
| Refaat vs. Ma: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 | Polymarket | 100% Over | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 1, 05:17 PM UTC