Will Lucas Armand win in Round 3?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lucas Armand defeats Anthony Wint at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission that ends the fight in Round 3, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed. If the fight is won in a different round, is won by decision, ends in a draw, or is won by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? | Polymarket | 50% Yes | Open |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | Polymarket | 83% No | Open |
| Will the fight end before Round 2? | Polymarket | 50% No | Open |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | Polymarket | 50% Over | Open |
| Will Anthony Wint win by KO or TKO? | Polymarket | 50% Yes | Open |
| Will the fight be won by submission? | Polymarket | 50% Yes | Open |
| Will Lucas Armand win by KO or TKO? | Polymarket | 50% No | Open |
| Will the fight end in a decision or draw? | Polymarket | 50% Yes | Open |
| Will the fight be won by decision? | Polymarket | 50% Yes | Open |
| Will Lucas Armand win in Round 2? | Polymarket | 50% No | Open |
| Will Anthony Wint win in Round 3? | Polymarket | 50% No | Open |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | Polymarket | 53% Over | Open |
| Will the fight end before Round 3? | Polymarket | 50% No | Open |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| Will Anthony Wint win in Round 2? | Polymarket | 50% Yes | Open |
| Will Lucas Armand win in Round 1? | Polymarket | 50% Yes | Open |
| Will Anthony Wint win in Round 1? | Polymarket | 50% Yes | Open |
| UFC 332: Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand (Heavyweight, Early Prelims) | Polymarket | 81% Anthony Wint | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 29, 11:18 PM UTC