PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

UFC 332: Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand (Heavyweight, Early Prelims)

Anthony Wint81%

Lucas Armand20%

Price checked at Sep 29, 06:51 PM UTC

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24h volume$50.2

7d volume$319.7

30d volume$469.7

Liquidity$24.4K

Spread1%

ResolvesOct 4, 2026in 4 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Anthony Wint" if Anthony Wint is officially declared the winner of the fight against Lucas Armand at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Lucas Armand" if Lucas Armand is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. The venues use different resolution sources and close at slightly different times. Both provide special handling for draws/no contests and postponements, with Kalshi also addressing cancellation or a rescheduling beyond two weeks.

KalshiOpen →
332: Wint vs Armand: Anthony Wint wins
If Anthony Wint wins the Wint vs Armand professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Wint vs Armand professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
read Sep 29, 06:36 PM UTC
Polymarketthis market
UFC 332: Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand (Heavyweight, Early Prelims)
This market will resolve to "Anthony Wint" if Anthony Wint is officially declared the winner of the fight against Lucas Armand at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Lucas Armand" if Lucas Armand is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
12 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 28, 07:57 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Fight to Go the Distance?	Polymarket	83% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight end before Round 2?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
O/U 2.5 Rounds	Polymarket	50% Over	—	—	—	Open
Will Anthony Wint win by KO or TKO?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight be won by submission?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Lucas Armand win by KO or TKO?	Polymarket	51% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight be won by decision?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Lucas Armand win in Round 2?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Anthony Wint win in Round 3?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
O/U 0.5 Rounds	Polymarket	56% Over	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight end before Round 3?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
O/U 1.5 Rounds	Polymarket	51% Under	—	—	—	Open
Will Anthony Wint win in Round 2?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Lucas Armand win in Round 1?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Lucas Armand win in Round 3?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Anthony Wint win in Round 1?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue yesterday

Holders12

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

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Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 73% · best ask 74%

Top holders

Rex41664815828955911410111218773877890475029599785372477684857083728351855652299240
yyyrl20170790145130991282148641969418590924645570080485665099737530830394720749648
predictiondiablo20170790145130991282148641969418590924645570080485665099737530830394720749648
KTR4Bets20170790145130991282148641969418590924645570080485665099737530830394720749648
Chakiie1020170790145130991282148641969418590924645570080485665099737530830394720749648

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY28%$12 days ago
SELL68%$25.23 days ago
SELL68%$7.53 days ago
SELL77%$8.53 days ago
BUY77%$6.93 days ago
SELL68%$3.44 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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As of Sep 29, 07:22 PM UTC