Will Zach Top win Male Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?

No96%
Yes5%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$560
Spread5%
ResolvesNov 19, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Male Vocalist of the Year. If a listed artist is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Male Vocalist of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning artist whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket specifies CMA/official sources, immediate No if Zach Top is not nominated, a tie-break rule, and an end-of-year fallback; Kalshi publishes only the core winning condition. The venues also list different settlement times, but both concern the same award result.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Zach Top win Male Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?

    The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Male Vocalist of the Year. If a listed artist is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Male Vocalist of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning artist whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

  • KalshiOpen →

    CMA Awards: Male Vocalist of the Year: Will Zach Top win Male Vocalist of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards?

    If Zach Top wins Male Vocalist of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

    read Sep 29, 10:36 PM UTC

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As of Sep 30, 05:00 AM UTC