PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Chris Stapleton win Male Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?

No75%

Yes25%

Price checked at Sep 30, 12:08 AM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$609.6

Spread6%

ResolvesNov 19, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Male Vocalist of the Year. If a listed artist is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Male Vocalist of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning artist whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. They differ in settlement timing and rules for ties, non-nomination, and no declared winner; these are resolution mechanics and do not change the underlying question.

KalshiOpen →
CMA Awards: Male Vocalist of the Year: Will Chris Stapleton win Male Vocalist of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards?
If Chris Stapleton wins Male Vocalist of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
read Sep 29, 09:37 PM UTC
Polymarketthis market
Will Chris Stapleton win Male Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Male Vocalist of the Year. If a listed artist is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Male Vocalist of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning artist whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
14 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 28, 12:50 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Luke Combs win Male Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Polymarket	84% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Stephen Wilson Jr. win Male Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Polymarket	95% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Cody Johnson win Male Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Polymarket	57% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Zach Top win Male Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Polymarket	96% No	—	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue yesterday

Holders14

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 22% · best ask 28%

Top holders

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b129668924244650853226237246364184431573679462249332799996049099903385644263676973
aliiz70695750508098549358876414257935553397231861639713200813471238057372630725724
mmtrading70695750508098549358876414257935553397231861639713200813471238057372630725724
Majas8924244650853226237246364184431573679462249332799996049099903385644263676973
0x42c03b2a749674035741356945f9e2e6bcf4b20070695750508098549358876414257935553397231861639713200813471238057372630725724

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Recent trades

BUY22%$8.32 days ago
BUY22%$3.32 days ago
BUY70%$27.47 days ago
SELL68%$13.67 days ago
SELL31%$12.47 days ago
SELL25%$109 days ago

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As of Sep 30, 12:16 AM UTC