KalshiResolved

SpaceX Starship 14th launch?: Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Sep 29, 2026?

Before Sep 29, 202699%

No1%

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24h volume$13.2K

7d volume—

30d volume—

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ResolvesNov 1, 2026next month

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 14 After issuance and before Sep 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purpose of this market, the launch date is the calendar date on which liftoff occurred, measured in the local timezone of the launch site, as publicly confirmed by SpaceX

Other legs of this event

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Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
SpaceX Starship 14th launch?: Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Oct 1, 2026?	Kalshi	99% Before Oct 1, 2026	$20.9K	—	—	Open
SpaceX Starship 14th launch?: Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Oct 16, 2026?	Kalshi	99% Before Oct 16, 2026	$4.2K	—	—	Open
SpaceX Starship 14th launch?: Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Sep 30, 2026?	Kalshi	99% Before Sep 30, 2026	$2.6K	—	—	Open
SpaceX Starship 14th launch?: Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Sep 23, 2026?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 2, 04:50 AM UTC