KalshiResolved

SpaceX Starship 14th launch?: Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Sep 23, 2026?

No99%
Before Sep 23, 20261%

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24h volume$0
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ResolvesNov 1, 2026next month

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 17Sep 18Sep 20Sep 22Sep 23Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 14 After issuance and before Sep 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purpose of this market, the launch date is the calendar date on which liftoff occurred, measured in the local timezone of the launch site, as publicly confirmed by SpaceX

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
SpaceX Starship 14th launch?: Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Oct 1, 2026?Kalshi99% Before Oct 1, 2026Open
SpaceX Starship 14th launch?: Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Sep 29, 2026?Kalshi99% Before Sep 29, 2026Open
SpaceX Starship 14th launch?: Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Oct 16, 2026?Kalshi99% Before Oct 16, 2026Open
SpaceX Starship 14th launch?: Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Sep 30, 2026?Kalshi99% Before Sep 30, 2026Open

Venue activity

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As of Oct 1, 11:40 PM UTC