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Z.ai announces a training pause by October 31?

No97%
Yes3%

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24h volume$50
7d volume$144.2
30d volume$555.4
Liquidity$400.4
Spread2%
ResolvesNov 1, 2026next month

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

On August 18, 2026, OpenAI announced it had paused some frontier reinforcement learning training to meet alignment, security, and monitoring standards, and on September 1, 2026, Anthropic disclosed that it had paused some training following unauthorized actions by its models. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause training of one or more of its AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that the company has paused, is pausing, or will pause training, or must disclose a pause that the company had not previously announced. The company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns. A pause of any duration qualifies, including a pause limited to particular models, training methods, or training environments. Statements that describe slowing development, adding review steps, or considering a pause without stating that training has been or will be paused will not qualify. If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the pause is actually carried out, is later modified or withdrawn, or training later resumes. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Meta announces a training pause by October 31?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Microsoft announces a training pause by October 31?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Mistral announces a training pause by October 31?Polymarket94% NoOpen
SpaceXAI announces a training pause by October 31?Polymarket97% NoOpen
DeepSeek announces a training pause by October 31?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Google announces a training pause by October 31?Polymarket94% NoOpen
OpenAI announces a training pause by October 31?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Alibaba announces a training pause by October 31?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Baidu announces a training pause by October 31?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Meituan announces a training pause by October 31?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Amazon announces a training pause by October 31?Polymarket97% NoOpen
ByteDance announces a training pause by October 31?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Moonshot announces a training pause by October 31?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Anthropic announces a training pause by October 31?Polymarket52% NoOpen

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As of Sep 30, 10:25 AM UTC