Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

No95%
Yes5%

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Liquidity—
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ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 14Sep 18Sep 22Sep 26Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker ( https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633 ) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

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  • Limitlessthis market

    Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker ( https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633 ) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

    3 holders · read Sep 30, 09:13 AM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

    5K holders · 381 comments · read Sep 30, 06:43 AM UTC

Venue activity

Holders3
Held value$88.4
Trades (24h)—
Trades4
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 4% · best ask 6%

Top holders

  • 0x3Eda6446d3f458E8ce2b9C433C59D719E331fc28No$82.1
  • 0xA0263fF389f941B7cCf06E396E554cAC5c79Dd37Yes$5.2
  • 0xaeE0cFc6a1356B5e76198EDF4A0f08b4efD32708No$1.1

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Recent trades

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As of Sep 30, 02:33 PM UTC