Kraken IPO by ... — December 31, 2026

No85%
Yes15%

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24h volume$708.2
7d volume$708.2
30d volume—
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Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kraken (US-based cryptocurrency exchange) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Kraken to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Kraken merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if Kraken completes an IPO before deadline. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket lists a settlement timestamp of January 1, 2026, while Opinion and PredictFun provide no settlement timestamp; Opinion also explicitly allows early resolution after an IPO. All cite official announcements or credible reporting by consensus, with no material source-of-truth difference.
  • PolymarketOpen →

    Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kraken completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Kraken is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

    712 holders · 47 comments · read Sep 28, 05:12 PM UTC

  • Opinionthis market

    Kraken IPO by ... — December 31, 2026

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kraken (US-based cryptocurrency exchange) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Kraken to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Kraken merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if Kraken completes an IPO before deadline. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

    read Sep 29, 08:05 PM UTC

  • PredictFunOpen →

    Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kraken completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Kraken is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting. Created At: 2026-03-02T13:41:38.787331439Z

    read Sep 29, 08:07 PM UTC

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Best bid 85% · best ask 100%

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As of Sep 29, 08:25 PM UTC