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PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

No95%
Yes5%

Price checked at

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24h volume$563.8
7d volume$790
30d volume$11.1K
Liquidity$2.3K
Spread3%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 22Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kraken completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Kraken is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket lists a settlement timestamp of January 1, 2026, while Opinion and PredictFun provide no settlement timestamp; Opinion also explicitly allows early resolution after an IPO. All cite official announcements or credible reporting by consensus, with no material source-of-truth difference.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kraken completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Kraken is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

    712 holders · 47 comments · read Sep 28, 05:12 PM UTC

  • OpinionOpen →

    Kraken IPO by ... — December 31, 2026

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kraken (US-based cryptocurrency exchange) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Kraken to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Kraken merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if Kraken completes an IPO before deadline. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

    read Sep 29, 07:18 PM UTC

  • PredictFunOpen →

    Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kraken completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Kraken is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting. Created At: 2026-03-02T13:41:38.787331439Z

    read Sep 29, 01:42 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2027?Polymarket69% YesOpen
Kraken IPO by June 30, 2027?Polymarket74% YesOpen
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2027?Polymarket65% YesOpen

Venue activity

Holders712
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments50

Best bid 94% · best ask 97%

Top holders

  • admsk1334626184950254225208692030156208941308358060420950772251072421141618169142241
  • Passionate-Geek34626184950254225208692030156208941308358060420950772251072421141618169142241
  • Ray77728557614648090529004584076028720900603196666949274543515794672175624115225556
  • KingDingaLing88834626184950254225208692030156208941308358060420950772251072421141618169142241
  • MaxEnt28557614648090529004584076028720900603196666949274543515794672175624115225556

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • SELL97%$6.8yesterday
  • SELL97%$203.3yesterday
  • SELL3%$0.9yesterday
  • BUY97%$13 days ago
  • SELL94%$7.16 days ago
  • SELL95%$19.16 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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50 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • Mindless-Chandelier · 2 months ago

    hunt bold xsscheck

  • champion786 · 2 months ago

    00brjfvs

  • crudepower · 2 months ago

    mf kraken is bankrupt

  • divineth · 5 months ago

    it seems interesting, INK ecosystem is growing up, given that fact going to IPO to maintain the momentum will be a smart move imo

  • Sherry.Mur.Mur.Mur · 6 months ago

    Kraken IPO paused

  • finallywilldo · 7 months ago

    Kraken paused its IPO

  • finallywilldo · 7 months ago

    Kraken paused its IPO!

  • dponpuyfnzs · 7 months ago

    free arb against kаlshi btw

  • ff93 · 9 months ago

    only a matter of time: [link removed]

  • StarBunnyFox · 9 months ago

    December 31

  • Hairy-Morbidity · 10 months ago

    realest

  • Hairy-Morbidity · 10 months ago

    bro the real site

  • Shameful-Primary · 10 months ago

    yo the site

  • Obvious-Regulator · 10 months ago

    ye screw those truth-hiding publishers

  • Memorable-Communion · 10 months ago

    solzhenitsyn named the jewish camp bosses censored forever

  • Coordinated-Paranoia · 10 months ago

    thanks

  • Coordinated-Paranoia · 10 months ago

    does anyone have a new dashboard pls

  • Vital-Culture · 10 months ago

    appreciate u

  • Vital-Culture · 10 months ago

    lmk the dashboard again i forgot

  • Spicy-Grenade · 10 months ago

    thanks

As of Sep 29, 07:23 PM UTC