OpinionOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Human moon landing in 2026?

Yes94%

No37%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:09 PM UTC

Prices have not been checked within the last hour.

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24h volume$25

7d volume$25

30d volume—

Liquidity—

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ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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PolymarketOpen →
Human moon landing in 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
498 holders · 34 comments · read Sep 28, 08:22 PM UTC
Opinionthis market
Human moon landing in 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
read Sep 29, 10:59 PM UTC

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Read from the venue 17 minutes ago

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Best bid 1% · best ask 99%

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As of Sep 29, 11:15 PM UTC