KalshiOpen

EV market share in 2030? Above 10%

Above 10%82%
Not Above 10%18%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 31, 2030in 3 years

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Aug 11Aug 23Sep 5Sep 17Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the share of electric light-duty vehicles sold is above 10% in Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
EV market share in 2030? Above 30%Kalshi52% Not Above 30%Open
EV market share in 2030? Above 50%Kalshi76% Not Above 50%Open
EV market share in 2030? Above 20%Kalshi67% Above 20%Open

Venue activity

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Held value—
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Open interest—
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As of Sep 30, 12:09 AM UTC