KalshiOpen

EV market share in 2030? Above 50%

Not Above 50%76%

Above 50%24%

Price checked at Sep 29, 11:44 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 31, 2030in 3 years

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

If the share of electric light-duty vehicles sold is above 50% in Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
EV market share in 2030? Above 30%	Kalshi	52% Not Above 30%	$0	—	—	Open
EV market share in 2030? Above 20%	Kalshi	67% Above 20%	$0	—	—	Open
EV market share in 2030? Above 10%	Kalshi	82% Above 10%	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 11:49 PM UTC