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How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?: Will government spending decrease by 250 before 2026? At least 250 billion

No97%
At least 250 billion3%

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24h volume$84.5
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesMar 31, 2027in 6 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Aug 8Aug 21Sep 3Sep 16Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If government spending decreases by at least 250 billion during Q4 2024 to Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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As of Sep 29, 08:32 PM UTC