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How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?: Will government spending decrease by 50 before 2026? At least 50 billion

No94%
At least 50 billion7%

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24h volume$20
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesMar 31, 2027in 6 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $50 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Each quarter from Q1 2025 to Q4 2026 is compared against Q4 2024.

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As of Sep 30, 01:55 AM UTC