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NASA lands on the moon?: Will NASA land a person on the Moon before 2028?

No98%
Before 20282%

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24h volume$1.6K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread2%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Aug 11Aug 23Sep 5Sep 17Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If an announcement indicates that a manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after Issuance and by December 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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As of Sep 30, 03:49 AM UTC