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NASA lands on the moon?: Will NASA land a person on the Moon by 2029? Before 2030

No53%
Before 203047%

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24h volume$14.9
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If an announcement indicates that a manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after Issuance and by December 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

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As of Sep 29, 08:30 PM UTC