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Which party will win the next UK general election?: Will Conservative win the next U.K. election? Conservative party
No70%
Conservative party30%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
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Spread6%
ResolvesAug 31, 2029in 3 years
Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the Conservative party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes. If two parties tie in seat count, then the party with the highest percentage of the vote will resolve to Yes and the others will resolve to No.
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As of Sep 29, 09:34 PM UTC