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Which party will win the next UK general election?: Will Liberal Democratic win the next U.K. election? Liberal Democratic party

No98%
Liberal Democratic party2%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
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Spread1%
ResolvesAug 31, 2029in 3 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Aug 15Aug 27Sep 7Sep 18Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Liberal Democratic party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes. If two parties tie in seat count, then the party with the highest percentage of the vote will resolve to Yes and the others will resolve to No.

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As of Sep 29, 11:16 PM UTC