KalshiOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Ottawa mayoral election winner?: Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?

Mark Sutcliffe81%

No19%

Price checked at Sep 30, 01:56 AM UTC

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24h volume$50

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread2%

ResolvesOct 26, 2026in 26 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Mark Sutcliffe wins the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket uses Yes/No and specifies a fallback to Other if the result remains unknown by June 30, 2027; Kalshi uses No/Mark Sutcliffe and may resolve early after designated media consensus. These are resolution-rule differences, not differences in the event being measured.

PolymarketOpen →
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?
The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
90 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 26, 05:27 PM UTC
Kalshithis market
Ottawa mayoral election winner?: Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?
If Mark Sutcliffe wins the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
read Sep 29, 10:29 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Ottawa mayoral election winner?: Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Kalshi	91% No	$10	—	—	Open
Ottawa mayoral election winner?: Will Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Kalshi	96% No	$0	—	—	Open
Ottawa mayoral election winner?: Will Neil Saravanamuttoo win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Kalshi	94% No	$0	—	—	Open
Ottawa mayoral election winner?: Will Catherine McKenney win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Kalshi	100% No	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 4 hours ago

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As of Sep 30, 02:11 AM UTC