KalshiOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Ottawa mayoral election winner?: Will Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?

No96%

Alex Lawson4%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:51 PM UTC

Trade

Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →

Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.

24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread2%

ResolvesOct 26, 2026in 27 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Alex Lawson wins the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. Polymarket uses consensus reporting with Ottawa official information as a fallback and has a June 30, 2027 outside date; Kalshi may settle early based on designated media sources. These are resolution-method differences, not material differences in the event being measured.

PolymarketOpen →
Will Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?
The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
46 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 28, 06:38 PM UTC
Kalshithis market
Ottawa mayoral election winner?: Will Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?
If Alex Lawson wins the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
read Sep 29, 10:16 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Ottawa mayoral election winner?: Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Kalshi	81% Mark Sutcliffe	$37	—	—	Open
Ottawa mayoral election winner?: Will Neil Saravanamuttoo win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Kalshi	94% No	$0	—	—	Open
Ottawa mayoral election winner?: Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Kalshi	91% No	$0	—	—	Open
Ottawa mayoral election winner?: Will Catherine McKenney win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Kalshi	100% No	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 10 minutes ago

Holders—

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Sep 29, 10:26 PM UTC