KalshiOpen

Who will release a new album in 2026?: Will Maroon 5 release a new album in 2026?

No93%
Maroon 57%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread90%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 19Sep 26Oct 2Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Maroon 5 releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. A “new album”, must be an original composition first released during 2026, including new singles, unreleased tracks, or collaborations featuring new material. It may take the form of an LP or EP. Re-recordings (unless in a new language), remasters, radio edits, clean or explicit releases of the same underlying track(s), remixes, live versions, acoustic versions, instrumentals, demos, alternative takes, “artist version”-style releases, or any other full reproduction of a song already available on Spotify before 2026 does NOT meet the Payout Criterion. Additionally, uploading albums that have not previously been available on Spotify but have been widely publicly available before time period does NOT meet the Payout Criterion for a “new album”

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As of Oct 2, 12:48 PM UTC