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Which ICE reforms will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that transfers Homeland Security Investigations (HSI) out of ICE to establish it as a separate entity within the Department of Homeland Security become law in 2026? Separate HSI from ICE

No99%
Separate HSI from ICE1%

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Spread4%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If legislation that transfers Homeland Security Investigations (HSI) out of ICE to establish it as a separate entity within the Department of Homeland Security has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An example of this is H.R. 673 (119th) — ICE Security Reform Act of 2025.

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As of Sep 29, 07:24 PM UTC