KalshiOpen

Fed rate cut before 2027?: Will the Federal Reserve cut rates before 2027? Cuts

No95%
Cuts5%

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24h volume$3.2K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread0%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Federal Reserve cuts its target federal funds rate range at least once between February 26, 2026 and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close and determine on the first 10 AM ET following the occurrence of the event if the event occurs prior to the target date.

Venue activity

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Held value—
Trades (24h)—
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Open interest—
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As of Sep 30, 12:42 AM UTC