KalshiOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao Winner?

No70%

Manny Pacquiao30%

Price checked at Sep 29, 08:59 PM UTC

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24h volume$4.4K

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread3%

ResolvesSep 20, 202610 days ago

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Manny Pacquiao wins the Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao boxing match originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao boxing match originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. The venues differ in handling postponements, cancellations, draws, and no contests: Polymarket can resolve 50-50, while Kalshi keeps the market open for a rescheduled match within two weeks. They also publish different settlement times and sources, but these are resolution-rule differences rather than different underlying questions.

PolymarketOpen →
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2
This market will resolve to "Mayweather" if Floyd Mayweather is officially declared the winner of the fight against Manny Pacquiao, scheduled for September 19, 2026 at the Sphere in Las Vegas, Nevada. It will resolve to "Pacquiao" if Manny Pacquiao is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the broadcast streamed on Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
299 holders · 13 comments · read Sep 27, 10:59 AM UTC
Kalshithis market
Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao Winner?
If Manny Pacquiao wins the Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao boxing match originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao boxing match originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
read Sep 29, 07:41 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao Winner?	Kalshi	68% Floyd Mayweather Jr.	$3.7K	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 2 hours ago

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As of Sep 29, 09:16 PM UTC