PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2

Pacquiao51%

Mayweather50%

Price checked at Sep 29, 06:40 PM UTC

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24h volume$461.8

7d volume$3.6K

30d volume$66.9K

Liquidity$253.6K

Spread1%

ResolvesOct 4, 2026in 4 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Mayweather" if Floyd Mayweather is officially declared the winner of the fight against Manny Pacquiao, scheduled for September 19, 2026 at the Sphere in Las Vegas, Nevada. It will resolve to "Pacquiao" if Manny Pacquiao is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the broadcast streamed on Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. The venues differ in handling postponements, cancellations, draws, and no contests: Polymarket can resolve 50-50, while Kalshi keeps the market open for a rescheduled match within two weeks. They also publish different settlement times and sources, but these are resolution-rule differences rather than different underlying questions.

Polymarketthis market
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2
This market will resolve to "Mayweather" if Floyd Mayweather is officially declared the winner of the fight against Manny Pacquiao, scheduled for September 19, 2026 at the Sphere in Las Vegas, Nevada. It will resolve to "Pacquiao" if Manny Pacquiao is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the broadcast streamed on Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
299 holders · 13 comments · read Sep 27, 10:59 AM UTC
KalshiOpen →
Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao Winner?
If Manny Pacquiao wins the Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao boxing match originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao boxing match originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
read Sep 29, 06:33 PM UTC

Venue activity

Read from the venue 2 days ago

Holders299

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments12

Best bid 50% · best ask 51%

Top holders

Peanutbettor77071943815487875570679106332249924269479743201878916974828984062232514687070
qmarktea263401407744226776447979193832945425879626422929276328734926726727563036748542
StanleyGao63401407744226776447979193832945425879626422929276328734926726727563036748542
LLDLIMITED77071943815487875570679106332249924269479743201878916974828984062232514687070
sticksclicks63401407744226776447979193832945425879626422929276328734926726727563036748542

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY50%$12 days ago
BUY51%$1.12 days ago
BUY50%$12 days ago
BUY51%$18.12 days ago
SELL50%$18.52 days ago
BUY51%$18.93 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

12 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

LLDLIMITED · 3 months ago
fight got postponed beyond oct 3 already
b4nd4b4nd · 4 months ago
Ur not alone bro, I also looked for usyk on here but to no avail just to see the prediction 2 days later titled: Trials of Giza. Yes it's disappointing coz my money was already on usyk.
ChillTio · 5 months ago
resolves to a 50/50
UnbeatenOracle · 5 months ago
Where is the Wardley vs. Dubois fight? Polymarket missing this is a joke.
shhadowdoom · 6 months ago
" If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50". "
UvaMilo · 6 months ago
What happens if the fight doesn't take place?
TysonWolff · 6 months ago
This is ridiculous
TysonWolff · 6 months ago
Where is all the Boxing matches ???!!!
komaaa · 6 months ago
The Polymarket boxing team should be fired. Where is Usyk vs Rico, Chisora vs Wilder, Fury vs Makhmudov???? WTF are these markets? Jake Paul's office run? How is this boxing?
xbsuwrkfmdl37 · 7 months ago
easy for Money
cery · 7 months ago
wooooow rly
HimTooTrill · 7 months ago
All Work Is What!

As of Sep 29, 07:24 PM UTC