Ebola pandemic in 2026?: New pandemic by 2026? In Dec 31, 2026

No95%
In Dec 31, 20265%

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24h volume$31.6
7d volume—
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Spread4%
ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Ebola becomes a pandemic in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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  • Kalshithis market

    Ebola pandemic in 2026?: New pandemic by 2026? In Dec 31, 2026

    If Ebola becomes a pandemic in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    read Sep 29, 08:24 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Ebola pandemic in 2026?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    429 holders · 11 comments · read Sep 22, 08:00 PM UTC

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As of Sep 29, 10:11 PM UTC