Ebola pandemic in 2026?
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The same question elsewhere
2 venues carry it- KalshiOpen →
Ebola pandemic in 2026?: New pandemic by 2026? In Dec 31, 2026
If Ebola becomes a pandemic in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
read Sep 30, 01:33 AM UTC
- Polymarketthis market
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
429 holders · 11 comments · read Sep 22, 08:00 PM UTC
Venue activity
Read from the venue 7 days agoBest bid 97% · best ask 98%
Top holders
- ktv.bond10246658038984151650034103768976602428274967801463302666380268058083953976413
- flovertaco10246658038984151650034103768976602428274967801463302666380268058083953976413
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- TruthSearUm5444973545596458579098523490944458545624986484462005759523225760947454292938
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Discussion on Predxy
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11 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- ToNNEllo · 9 days ago
NONONO
- ToNNEllo · 13 days ago
no? lol
- pokjkj · 2 months ago
Stop it right now, that's way too scary!😀😀😀😀
- kdnckszp · 3 months ago
no
- Davidbill · 4 months ago
lol
- wi2.mk · 4 months ago
why was there a spike recently ?
- Downright-Commuter · 4 months ago
Devil's advocate - there's plenty of middle-ground scenarios where ebola has mutated or a new variant becomes prevalent with a higher R0, perhaps as high as HIV, but remains well below a world-ending threshold (as HIV has). No buyers can get better interest rates on other markets though.
- MtnMark · 4 months ago
Former CDC director on Ebola outbreak: ‘I suspect this is going to become a very significant pandemic’ - The Hill
- MtnMark · 4 months ago
Former CDC director on Ebola outbreak: ‘I suspect this is going to become a very significant pandemic’- The Hill[link removed]
- DonationsReceiver · 4 months ago
JUST IN: Former CDC director warns Ebola outbreak may escalate into a major global pandemic - The Hill
- Striking-Jackfruit · 4 months ago
This is free money. Why do people even bet on this? In the ~0.0001% off-chance of it actually happening, your money will be worthless anyways.
As of Sep 30, 02:55 AM UTC