KalshiOpen

How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?: Will the number of Trump rallies be above 25 from January 1 to November 3, 2026?

Above 2593%
No7%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread7%
ResolvesFeb 1, 2027in 4 months

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the number of Trump rallies is above 25 from January 1 to November 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. A Trump rally is a public, in-person political event organized around a rally-style address by Donald J. Trump, typically preceded by guest speakers, held at a large venue, and open to attendees via free registration. Examples in 2026 include the rallies on 1/27 (Clive, IA), 2/19 (Rome, GA), 2/27 (Corpus Christi, TX), 3/11 (Hebron, KY), 4/17 (Phoenix, AZ), 5/1 (The Villages, FL), and 5/22 (Suffern, NY). As of 5/27/26, the count is 7.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?: Will the number of Trump rallies be above 35 from January 1 to November 3, 2026?Kalshi71% Above 35Open
How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?: Will the number of Trump rallies be above 40 from January 1 to November 3, 2026?Kalshi55% Above 40Open
How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?: Will the number of Trump rallies be above 30 from January 1 to November 3, 2026?Kalshi83% Above 30Open
How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?: Will the number of Trump rallies be above 20 from January 1 to November 3, 2026?Kalshi89% Above 20Open
How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?: Will the number of Trump rallies be above 45 from January 1 to November 3, 2026?Kalshi54% NoOpen
How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?: Will the number of Trump rallies be above 50 from January 1 to November 3, 2026?Kalshi58% Above 50Open
How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?: Will the number of Trump rallies be above 55 from January 1 to November 3, 2026?Kalshi55% Above 55Open
How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?: Will the number of Trump rallies be above 65 from January 1 to November 3, 2026?Kalshi72% NoOpen
How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?: Will the number of Trump rallies be above 60 from January 1 to November 3, 2026?Kalshi67% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Sep 30, 04:27 AM UTC