KalshiOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

CA-40 House winner?: Who will win the 2026 CA-40 House election? Ken Calvert

Ken Calvert63%

No37%

Price checked at Sep 29, 11:05 PM UTC

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24h volume$613.6

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread25%

ResolvesNov 3, 2026next month

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Ken Calvert wins the 2026 CA-40 House election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. Kalshi allows accelerated determination after a media consensus, while Polymarket uses credible reporting and, if ambiguous, official U.S. results; these are source-of-truth differences for the same fact. Their listed settlement times also differ, without changing the election question.

Kalshithis market
CA-40 House winner?: Who will win the 2026 CA-40 House election? Ken Calvert
If Ken Calvert wins the 2026 CA-40 House election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
read Sep 29, 08:24 PM UTC
PolymarketOpen →
Will Ken Calvert win the CA-40 House seat?
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
33 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 26, 11:32 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
CA-40 House winner?: Who will win the 2026 CA-40 House election? Young Kim	Kalshi	59% No	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 3 hours ago

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As of Sep 29, 11:20 PM UTC