KalshiOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

CA-12 House winner?: Who will win the 2026 CA-12 House election? Jamie Joyce

No97%

Jamie Joyce3%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:25 PM UTC

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24h volume$500

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread4%

ResolvesNov 3, 2026next month

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Jamie Joyce wins the 2026 CA-12 House election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. Polymarket resolves after the election based on credible reporting or official U.S. results if ambiguous; Kalshi permits accelerated determination after a media consensus projection. Their listed resolution times also differ, but these are settlement-rule/timing differences rather than different questions.

PolymarketOpen →
Will Jamie Joyce win the CA-12 House seat?
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
13 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 23, 06:50 AM UTC
Kalshithis market
CA-12 House winner?: Who will win the 2026 CA-12 House election? Jamie Joyce
If Jamie Joyce wins the 2026 CA-12 House election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
read Sep 29, 08:03 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
CA-12 House winner?: Who will win the 2026 CA-12 House election? Lateefah Simon	Kalshi	94% Lateefah Simon	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 2 hours ago

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As of Sep 29, 09:34 PM UTC