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Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election?: Will Romeu Zema qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No99%
Romeu Zema1%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 3, 2028in 2 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Romeu Zema is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. If a candidate wins the first round outright, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. This is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified. If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.

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As of Sep 29, 09:33 PM UTC