KalshiOpen

10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026: Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 0bps?

Above 0bps92%
No8%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread19%
ResolvesJan 7, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 is above 0bps, then the market resolves to Yes. Please note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026: Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 70bps?Kalshi80% NoOpen
10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026: Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 50bps?Kalshi64% NoOpen
10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026: Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 60bps?Kalshi75% NoOpen
10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026: Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above -30bps?Kalshi89% Above -30bpsOpen
10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026: Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 30bps?Kalshi70% Above 30bpsOpen
10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026: Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 40bps?Kalshi52% Above 40bpsOpen
10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026: Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 20bps?Kalshi77% Above 20bpsOpen
10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026: Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above -10bps?Kalshi95% Above -10bpsOpen
10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026: Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 10bps?Kalshi85% Above 10bpsOpen
10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026: Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above -20bps?Kalshi96% Above -20bpsOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
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Open interest—
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As of Sep 29, 10:57 PM UTC